2016 CDF to UGX Historical Review
A comprehensive breakdown of exchange rate performance throughout the year 2016.
2016 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review
Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016
During 2016, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 17, valuing the pair at 3.9076. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 2.9959.
This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9116 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.7173 to the December average rate of 3.0919, the exchange rate registered a net change of -16.82% (reflecting a weakening trend).
Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 3.9076 was down 2.04% compared to the 2015 peak of 3.9888, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.
Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:
Trend Visualization
Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.
CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis
A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.
Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)
SeasonalThe average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 3.6374, compared to 3.4481 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1893 points.
Volatility Range Comparison
VolatilityThe most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.7439 UGX (High: 3.9076 / Low: 3.1637). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0471 UGX (High: 3.6441 / Low: 3.5970).
Growth Streaks & Declines
TrendsBetween August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.5060 points.
Same-Month Historical Baseline
YoY BaselineComparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2016: 3.5979) against the same month in 2015 (average: 3.6932), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0953 (-2.58%).
Monthly Breakdown
Statistical summary for each calendar month.
| Month | High | Low | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| January | 3.7623 | 3.6548 | 3.7173 |
| February | 3.7449 | 3.6148 | 3.6926 |
| March | 3.6441 | 3.5970 | 3.6264 |
| April | 3.6289 | 3.5629 | 3.6012 |
| May | 3.6447 | 3.5701 | 3.6043 |
| June | 3.6823 | 3.5007 | 3.5827 |
| July | 3.6037 | 3.4487 | 3.5514 |
| August | 3.4802 | 3.4248 | 3.4525 |
| September | 3.4888 | 3.4407 | 3.4631 |
| October | 3.6093 | 3.4476 | 3.5319 |
| November | 3.9076 | 3.1637 | 3.5979 |
| December | 3.1988 | 2.9959 | 3.0919 |