2018 CDF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.4219 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.2309 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.3011 UGX

2018 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 2.4219. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 24, dropping to 2.2309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1910 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2732 to the December average rate of 2.2848, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.51% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 2.4219 was down 22.74% compared to the 2017 peak of 3.1345, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 12,110 UGX

2017 Average 12,502 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 11,155 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 954.94 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

2.3887

2.2479

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2946, compared to 2.3076 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0130 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2946

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.3076

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.1846 UGX (High: 2.4156 / Low: 2.2309). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0182 UGX (High: 2.3021 / Low: 2.2840).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.1846

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0182

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.0583 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0583

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 2.3769) against the same month in 2017 (average: 2.4697), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0928 (-3.76%).

2018 Avg (June) 2.3769

2017 Avg (June) 2.4697

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.3249	2.2529	2.2732
February	2.2748	2.2362	2.2596
March	2.2856	2.2443	2.2605
April	2.3021	2.2840	2.2891
May	2.3379	2.2955	2.3083
June	2.4219	2.3346	2.3769
July	2.4156	2.2309	2.3186
August	2.3205	2.2620	2.2934
September	2.3530	2.2921	2.3251
October	2.3457	2.2895	2.3209
November	2.3283	2.2665	2.3026
December	2.3228	2.2549	2.2848