YEARLY HIGH
1.4314 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.2698 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3351 UGX

2024 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 19, valuing the pair at 1.4314. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 1.2698.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1616 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.3977 to the December average rate of 1.2837, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.16% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 1.4314 was down 22.56% compared to the 2023 peak of 1.8486, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 7,157 UGX
2023 Average 8,042 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,349 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 808.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

1.4169
1.2716
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.3757, compared to 1.2945 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0812 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.3757
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.2945

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was June, with a trading range of 0.0604 UGX (High: 1.3614 / Low: 1.3009). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0187 UGX (High: 1.2925 / Low: 1.2738).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0604
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0187

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2024. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0354 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0354

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2024: 1.3977) against the same month in 2023 (average: 1.8021), the exchange rate shifted by -0.4044 (-22.44%).

2024 Avg (January) 1.3977
2023 Avg (January) 1.8021

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.4314 1.3843 1.3977
February 1.4299 1.3851 1.4048
March 1.4195 1.3907 1.4037
April 1.3890 1.3585 1.3683
May 1.3660 1.3370 1.3548
June 1.3614 1.3009 1.3249
July 1.3216 1.2887 1.3028
August 1.3178 1.2951 1.3060
September 1.3109 1.2893 1.3029
October 1.2925 1.2738 1.2858
November 1.2930 1.2736 1.2860
December 1.2917 1.2698 1.2837