YEARLY HIGH
1.7169 UGX
YEARLY LOW
1.2097 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
1.3344 UGX

2025 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 13, valuing the pair at 1.7169. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 4, dropping to 1.2097.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5072 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 1.2927 to the December average rate of 1.5835, the exchange rate registered a net change of 22.50% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 1.7169 was up 19.94% compared to the 2024 peak of 1.4314, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 8,584 UGX
2024 Average 6,674 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 6,048 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,535.82 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

1.6464
1.1928
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 1.2719, compared to 1.3969 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1250 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 1.2719
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 1.3969

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was October, with a trading range of 0.2955 UGX (High: 1.6184 / Low: 1.3229). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0134 UGX (High: 1.2421 / Low: 1.2287).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2955
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0134

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.0250 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0250

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2025: 1.6086) against the same month in 2024 (average: 1.2860), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3226 (+25.08%).

2025 Avg (November) 1.6086
2024 Avg (November) 1.2860

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 1.3014 1.2849 1.2927
February 1.2987 1.2794 1.2850
March 1.2856 1.2720 1.2789
April 1.2787 1.2539 1.2658
May 1.2739 1.2516 1.2614
June 1.2570 1.2357 1.2476
July 1.2421 1.2287 1.2370
August 1.2428 1.2227 1.2306
September 1.3274 1.2097 1.2364
October 1.6184 1.3229 1.4850
November 1.7169 1.5155 1.6086
December 1.6724 1.5438 1.5835