2019 CDF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

2.3088 UGX

YEARLY LOW

2.1721 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

2.2416 UGX

2019 CDF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the CDF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 10, valuing the pair at 2.3088. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 23, dropping to 2.1721.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1367 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 2.2659 to the December average rate of 2.1896, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 2.3088 was down 4.67% compared to the 2018 peak of 2.4219, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 CDF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 11,544 UGX

2018 Average 11,506 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 10,860 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 683.58 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

2.3008

2.1795

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

CDF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 2.2668, compared to 2.2163 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0504 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 2.2668

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 2.2163

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 0.0656 UGX (High: 2.2886 / Low: 2.2230). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0170 UGX (High: 2.2340 / Low: 2.2170).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0656

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0170

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0343 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0343

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 2.2907) against the same month in 2018 (average: 2.3083), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0176 (-0.76%).

2019 Avg (May) 2.2907

2018 Avg (May) 2.3083

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	2.2948	2.2375	2.2659
February	2.2608	2.2291	2.2425
March	2.2782	2.2480	2.2639
April	2.2935	2.2641	2.2813
May	2.3088	2.2748	2.2907
June	2.2886	2.2230	2.2564
July	2.2458	2.2136	2.2271
August	2.2340	2.2170	2.2272
September	2.2195	2.2002	2.2085
October	2.2410	2.2111	2.2240
November	2.2420	2.2134	2.2217
December	2.2198	2.1721	2.1896