YEARLY HIGH
0.0519 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.0479 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0494 DJF

2025 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 0.0519. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 8, dropping to 0.0479.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0040 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0482 to the December average rate of 0.0498, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.20% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 0.0519 was up 6.18% compared to the 2024 peak of 0.0489, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 260 DJF
2024 Average 237 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 240 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20.16 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

0.0517
0.0479
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0486, compared to 0.0502 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0016 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0486
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0502

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 0.0026 DJF (High: 0.0512 / Low: 0.0486). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 DJF (High: 0.0497 / Low: 0.0495).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.0026
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 9 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.0015 points.

Longest Streak 9 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0015

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2025: 0.0513) against the same month in 2024 (average: 0.0484), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0029 (+5.98%).

2025 Avg (October) 0.0513
2024 Avg (October) 0.0484

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0485 0.0479 0.0482
February 0.0485 0.0482 0.0484
March 0.0491 0.0483 0.0485
April 0.0489 0.0479 0.0485
May 0.0489 0.0486 0.0487
June 0.0496 0.0489 0.0493
July 0.0497 0.0495 0.0496
August 0.0502 0.0494 0.0499
September 0.0510 0.0502 0.0507
October 0.0519 0.0509 0.0513
November 0.0512 0.0486 0.0499
December 0.0503 0.0491 0.0498