YEARLY HIGH
0.0509 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.0458 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0483 DJF

2022 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 0.0509. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 7, dropping to 0.0458.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0051 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0504 to the December average rate of 0.0482, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.28% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 0.0509 was up 0.65% compared to the 2021 peak of 0.0506, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 255 DJF
2021 Average 248 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 229 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25.43 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

0.0510
0.0461
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0496, compared to 0.0470 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0026 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0496
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0470

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 0.0035 DJF (High: 0.0506 / Low: 0.0471). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0008 DJF (High: 0.0509 / Low: 0.0502).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.0035
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0008

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0016 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0016

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2022: 0.0506) against the same month in 2021 (average: 0.0486), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0021 (+4.23%).

2022 Avg (February) 0.0506
2021 Avg (February) 0.0486

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0508 0.0500 0.0504
February 0.0509 0.0502 0.0506
March 0.0504 0.0491 0.0496
April 0.0508 0.0498 0.0503
May 0.0506 0.0471 0.0491
June 0.0483 0.0468 0.0476
July 0.0479 0.0459 0.0469
August 0.0474 0.0458 0.0465
September 0.0470 0.0459 0.0466
October 0.0469 0.0461 0.0465
November 0.0477 0.0469 0.0473
December 0.0489 0.0476 0.0482