2011 UGX to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0777 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0616 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0708 DJF

2011 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 28, valuing the pair at 0.0777. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 0.0616.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0161 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0763 to the December average rate of 0.0727, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.71% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 0.0777 was down 16.68% compared to the 2010 peak of 0.0933, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 389 DJF

2010 Average 409 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 308 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 80.63 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

0.0776

0.0618

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0747, compared to 0.0669 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0078 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0747

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0669

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 0.0080 DJF (High: 0.0744 / Low: 0.0664). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 DJF (High: 0.0747 / Low: 0.0741).

June Spread (Volatile) ±0.0080

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.0041 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0041

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2011: 0.0763) against the same month in 2010 (average: 0.0919), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0156 (-16.94%).

2011 Avg (January) 0.0763

2010 Avg (January) 0.0919

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0777	0.0743	0.0763
February	0.0770	0.0745	0.0757
March	0.0750	0.0732	0.0741
April	0.0763	0.0745	0.0749
May	0.0747	0.0741	0.0744
June	0.0744	0.0664	0.0725
July	0.0700	0.0680	0.0686
August	0.0680	0.0628	0.0645
September	0.0639	0.0618	0.0631
October	0.0688	0.0616	0.0635
November	0.0710	0.0674	0.0689
December	0.0757	0.0697	0.0727