YEARLY HIGH
0.0514 DJF
YEARLY LOW
0.0470 DJF
YEARLY AVERAGE
0.0483 DJF

2026 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 21, valuing the pair at 0.0514. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 19, dropping to 0.0470.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0044 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0499 to the December average rate of 0.0472, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 0.0514 was down 0.98% compared to the 2025 peak of 0.0519, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 257 DJF
2025 Average 247 DJF
Yearly Trough Low 235 DJF
Transaction Impact: A difference of 22.04 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

0.0502
0.0470
JanuFebrMarcApriMayJune

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0483, compared to 0.0000 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0483 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0483
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0000

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.0024 DJF (High: 0.0494 / Low: 0.0470). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 DJF (High: 0.0473 / Low: 0.0472).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0024
June Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0022 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0022

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2026: 0.0499) against the same month in 2025 (average: 0.0482), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0016 (+3.40%).

2026 Avg (January) 0.0499
2025 Avg (January) 0.0482

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 0.0514 0.0491 0.0499
February 0.0504 0.0494 0.0499
March 0.0494 0.0470 0.0477
April 0.0483 0.0473 0.0479
May 0.0476 0.0471 0.0473
June 0.0473 0.0472 0.0472