2012 UGX to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0773 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0659 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0713 DJF

2012 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 7, valuing the pair at 0.0773. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 8, dropping to 0.0659.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0115 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0740 to the December average rate of 0.0665, the exchange rate registered a net change of -10.07% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 0.0773 was down 0.53% compared to the 2011 peak of 0.0777, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 387 DJF

2011 Average 354 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 329 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 57.26 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

0.0774

0.0655

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0730, compared to 0.0696 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0034 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0730

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0696

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.0050 DJF (High: 0.0769 / Low: 0.0719). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 DJF (High: 0.0722 / Low: 0.0716).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0050

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2012. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0044 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0044

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2012: 0.0764) against the same month in 2011 (average: 0.0757), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0007 (+0.92%).

2012 Avg (February) 0.0764

2011 Avg (February) 0.0757

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0769	0.0719	0.0740
February	0.0773	0.0729	0.0764
March	0.0730	0.0696	0.0720
April	0.0724	0.0709	0.0715
May	0.0729	0.0715	0.0722
June	0.0725	0.0715	0.0720
July	0.0722	0.0716	0.0719
August	0.0718	0.0707	0.0714
September	0.0717	0.0696	0.0707
October	0.0697	0.0683	0.0689
November	0.0689	0.0661	0.0679
December	0.0672	0.0659	0.0665