2020 UGX to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0488 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0454 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0479 DJF

2020 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 0.0488. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 24, dropping to 0.0454.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0034 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0484 to the December average rate of 0.0486, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 0.0488 was down 0.57% compared to the 2019 peak of 0.0491, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 244 DJF

2019 Average 240 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 227 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 17.12 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

0.0487

0.0468

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0476, compared to 0.0482 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0005 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0476

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0482

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.0027 DJF (High: 0.0481 / Low: 0.0454). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 DJF (High: 0.0485 / Low: 0.0483).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.0027

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0011 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0011

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 0.0486) against the same month in 2019 (average: 0.0484), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0001 (+0.27%).

2020 Avg (December) 0.0486

2019 Avg (December) 0.0484

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0486	0.0480	0.0484
February	0.0486	0.0480	0.0484
March	0.0481	0.0454	0.0473
April	0.0474	0.0468	0.0471
May	0.0472	0.0468	0.0470
June	0.0479	0.0471	0.0476
July	0.0483	0.0478	0.0481
August	0.0485	0.0483	0.0484
September	0.0484	0.0479	0.0482
October	0.0482	0.0476	0.0479
November	0.0482	0.0476	0.0480
December	0.0488	0.0481	0.0486