2017 UGX to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0503 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0488 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0494 DJF

2017 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 20, valuing the pair at 0.0503. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 4, dropping to 0.0488.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0015 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0494 to the December average rate of 0.0493, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 0.0503 was down 6.46% compared to the 2016 peak of 0.0537, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 251 DJF

2016 Average 260 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 244 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7.42 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

0.0499

0.0491

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0495, compared to 0.0493 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0002 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0495

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0493

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 0.0011 DJF (High: 0.0501 / Low: 0.0489). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 DJF (High: 0.0498 / Low: 0.0491).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0011

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0003 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0003

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2017: 0.0495) against the same month in 2016 (average: 0.0525), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0029 (-5.57%).

2017 Avg (July) 0.0495

2016 Avg (July) 0.0525

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0501	0.0489	0.0494
February	0.0502	0.0494	0.0499
March	0.0501	0.0491	0.0496
April	0.0497	0.0488	0.0493
May	0.0498	0.0490	0.0494
June	0.0501	0.0494	0.0498
July	0.0503	0.0492	0.0495
August	0.0499	0.0491	0.0494
September	0.0498	0.0491	0.0495
October	0.0496	0.0488	0.0492
November	0.0494	0.0488	0.0492
December	0.0498	0.0491	0.0493