2019 UGX to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0491 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0400 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0480 DJF

2019 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 0.0491. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 22, dropping to 0.0400.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0091 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0478 to the December average rate of 0.0484, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.35% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 0.0491 was down 0.38% compared to the 2018 peak of 0.0493, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 246 DJF

2018 Average 239 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 200 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 45.44 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

0.0486

0.0471

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0478, compared to 0.0483 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0004 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0478

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0483

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.0086 DJF (High: 0.0487 / Low: 0.0400). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0003 DJF (High: 0.0482 / Low: 0.0479).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.0086

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0003

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.0004 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0004

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 0.0482) against the same month in 2018 (average: 0.0477), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0005 (+1.06%).

2019 Avg (August) 0.0482

2018 Avg (August) 0.0477

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0487	0.0400	0.0478
February	0.0486	0.0481	0.0485
March	0.0482	0.0479	0.0480
April	0.0479	0.0474	0.0476
May	0.0475	0.0471	0.0473
June	0.0484	0.0472	0.0477
July	0.0483	0.0478	0.0482
August	0.0491	0.0481	0.0482
September	0.0489	0.0482	0.0484
October	0.0485	0.0477	0.0481
November	0.0483	0.0480	0.0482
December	0.0486	0.0480	0.0484