2021 UGX to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0506 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0479 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0496 DJF

2021 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 10, valuing the pair at 0.0506. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 12, dropping to 0.0479.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0027 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0483 to the December average rate of 0.0501, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.76% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 0.0506 was up 3.61% compared to the 2020 peak of 0.0488, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 253 DJF

2020 Average 240 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 240 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 13.41 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

0.0507

0.0481

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0491, compared to 0.0501 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0491

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0501

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.0013 DJF (High: 0.0503 / Low: 0.0491). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0002 DJF (High: 0.0487 / Low: 0.0485).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.0013

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0002

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.0007 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0007

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2021: 0.0503) against the same month in 2020 (average: 0.0476), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0026 (+5.55%).

2021 Avg (June) 0.0503

2020 Avg (June) 0.0476

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0489	0.0479	0.0483
February	0.0486	0.0484	0.0486
March	0.0487	0.0485	0.0486
April	0.0498	0.0486	0.0491
May	0.0504	0.0497	0.0501
June	0.0506	0.0501	0.0503
July	0.0503	0.0499	0.0501
August	0.0504	0.0501	0.0503
September	0.0506	0.0500	0.0504
October	0.0503	0.0491	0.0498
November	0.0504	0.0497	0.0501
December	0.0504	0.0498	0.0501