2013 UGX to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0715 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0653 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0687 DJF

2013 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 18, valuing the pair at 0.0715. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 8, dropping to 0.0653.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0062 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0661 to the December average rate of 0.0709, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 0.0715 was down 7.49% compared to the 2012 peak of 0.0773, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 358 DJF

2012 Average 356 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 327 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 30.88 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

0.0714

0.0657

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0677, compared to 0.0696 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0020 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0677

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0696

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 0.0023 DJF (High: 0.0702 / Low: 0.0679). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0007 DJF (High: 0.0688 / Low: 0.0681).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0023

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0007

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0002 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0002

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2013: 0.0709) against the same month in 2012 (average: 0.0665), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0044 (+6.58%).

2013 Avg (December) 0.0709

2012 Avg (December) 0.0665

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0667	0.0653	0.0661
February	0.0672	0.0661	0.0667
March	0.0685	0.0666	0.0673
April	0.0702	0.0679	0.0688
May	0.0694	0.0680	0.0686
June	0.0688	0.0681	0.0684
July	0.0689	0.0682	0.0686
August	0.0693	0.0683	0.0689
September	0.0698	0.0685	0.0692
October	0.0706	0.0694	0.0699
November	0.0706	0.0699	0.0704
December	0.0715	0.0703	0.0709