2018 UGX to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0493 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0455 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0477 DJF

2018 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 16, valuing the pair at 0.0493. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 21, dropping to 0.0455.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0038 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0491 to the December average rate of 0.0479, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 0.0493 was down 1.90% compared to the 2017 peak of 0.0503, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 247 DJF

2017 Average 247 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 228 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18.89 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

0.0494

0.0461

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0480, compared to 0.0474 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0006 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0480

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0474

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 0.0027 DJF (High: 0.0483 / Low: 0.0456). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0004 DJF (High: 0.0480 / Low: 0.0476).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0027

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0004

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0013 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0013

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 0.0491) against the same month in 2017 (average: 0.0494), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0003 (-0.67%).

2018 Avg (January) 0.0491

2017 Avg (January) 0.0494

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0493	0.0488	0.0491
February	0.0492	0.0483	0.0488
March	0.0486	0.0479	0.0484
April	0.0480	0.0476	0.0479
May	0.0480	0.0472	0.0477
June	0.0472	0.0455	0.0464
July	0.0483	0.0456	0.0474
August	0.0483	0.0472	0.0477
September	0.0473	0.0465	0.0468
October	0.0475	0.0466	0.0471
November	0.0480	0.0474	0.0476
December	0.0482	0.0476	0.0479