2015 UGX to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0644 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0481 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0553 DJF

2015 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 0.0644. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 2, dropping to 0.0481.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0164 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0624 to the December average rate of 0.0529, the exchange rate registered a net change of -15.27% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 0.0644 was down 11.21% compared to the 2014 peak of 0.0726, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 322 DJF

2014 Average 344 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 240 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 81.89 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

0.0638

0.0471

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0598, compared to 0.0509 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0089 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0598

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0509

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 0.0041 DJF (High: 0.0544 / Low: 0.0503). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0005 DJF (High: 0.0487 / Low: 0.0482).

July Spread (Volatile) ±0.0041

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0005

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0033 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0033

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2015: 0.0624) against the same month in 2014 (average: 0.0712), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0088 (-12.35%).

2015 Avg (January) 0.0624

2014 Avg (January) 0.0712

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0644	0.0612	0.0624
February	0.0625	0.0616	0.0620
March	0.0614	0.0588	0.0604
April	0.0597	0.0590	0.0593
May	0.0595	0.0580	0.0590
June	0.0578	0.0538	0.0557
July	0.0544	0.0503	0.0530
August	0.0519	0.0486	0.0502
September	0.0487	0.0482	0.0484
October	0.0502	0.0481	0.0488
November	0.0530	0.0500	0.0519
December	0.0539	0.0515	0.0529