2014 UGX to DJF Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

0.0726 DJF

YEARLY LOW

0.0641 DJF

YEARLY AVERAGE

0.0688 DJF

2014 UGX to DJF Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the UGX to DJF exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 18, valuing the pair at 0.0726. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 0.0641.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.0084 DJF. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 0.0712 to the December average rate of 0.0645, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 0.0726 was up 1.47% compared to the 2013 peak of 0.0715, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 UGX based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 363 DJF

2013 Average 343 DJF

Yearly Trough Low 321 DJF

Transaction Impact: A difference of 42.18 DJF purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

0.0729

0.0637

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

UGX to DJF Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 0.0707, compared to 0.0669 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0039 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 0.0707

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 0.0669

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was April, with a trading range of 0.0023 DJF (High: 0.0715 / Low: 0.0692). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0006 DJF (High: 0.0647 / Low: 0.0641).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.0023

December Spread (Stable) ±0.0006

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2014. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.0018 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0018

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2014: 0.0721) against the same month in 2013 (average: 0.0667), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0054 (+8.10%).

2014 Avg (February) 0.0721

2013 Avg (February) 0.0667

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	0.0721	0.0702	0.0712
February	0.0726	0.0703	0.0721
March	0.0709	0.0692	0.0703
April	0.0715	0.0692	0.0707
May	0.0712	0.0699	0.0707
June	0.0704	0.0685	0.0694
July	0.0688	0.0669	0.0679
August	0.0691	0.0681	0.0685
September	0.0687	0.0672	0.0682
October	0.0675	0.0656	0.0667
November	0.0663	0.0642	0.0653
December	0.0647	0.0641	0.0645