2011 AOA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

30.5001 UGX

YEARLY LOW

24.5966 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

26.9711 UGX

2011 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 23, valuing the pair at 30.5001. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 24.5966.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.9035 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.1245 to the December average rate of 25.8477, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.88% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 30.5001 was up 20.71% compared to the 2010 peak of 25.2671, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 152,501 UGX

2010 Average 118,755 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 122,983 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,517.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

30.4684

24.6387

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 25.6110, compared to 28.3312 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.7202 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 25.6110

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.3312

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 3.2458 UGX (High: 30.4588 / Low: 27.2130). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2347 UGX (High: 25.8067 / Low: 25.5720).

October Spread (Volatile) ±3.2458

May Spread (Stable) ±0.2347

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 2.3986 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.3986

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2011: 29.9826) against the same month in 2010 (average: 24.8488), the exchange rate shifted by +5.1337 (+20.66%).

2011 Avg (September) 29.9826

2010 Avg (September) 24.8488

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	25.8020	24.5966	25.1245
February	25.6511	24.7881	25.2411
March	26.0925	25.4590	25.7800
April	25.6477	25.0445	25.4941
May	25.8067	25.5720	25.6719
June	28.7566	25.6616	26.3543
July	28.0855	27.2920	27.8118
August	30.3621	28.0710	29.5948
September	30.5001	29.4169	29.9826
October	30.4588	27.2130	29.5744
November	27.7519	26.3753	27.1758
December	26.8595	24.9100	25.8477