YEARLY HIGH
7.6965 UGX
YEARLY LOW
5.5373 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
6.4899 UGX

2020 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 6, valuing the pair at 7.6965. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 16, dropping to 5.5373.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1592 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.5256 to the December average rate of 5.5923, the exchange rate registered a net change of -25.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 7.6965 was down 36.19% compared to the 2019 peak of 12.0611, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 38,483 UGX
2019 Average 51,996 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 27,687 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,796.09 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

7.7190
5.3990
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 7.0324, compared to 5.9474 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.0850 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 7.0324
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.9474

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was August, with a trading range of 0.5602 UGX (High: 6.6730 / Low: 6.1128). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0903 UGX (High: 5.6518 / Low: 5.5615).

August Spread (Volatile) ±0.5602
December Spread (Stable) ±0.0903

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2020. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.6359 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6359

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2020: 7.5256) against the same month in 2019 (average: 11.9418), the exchange rate shifted by -4.4162 (-36.98%).

2020 Avg (January) 7.5256
2019 Avg (January) 11.9418

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.6965 7.4024 7.5256
February 7.5309 7.4036 7.4350
March 7.5777 7.0270 7.4097
April 7.0744 6.6451 6.7738
May 6.9582 6.4197 6.7133
June 6.5879 6.1464 6.3372
July 6.6730 6.3659 6.5030
August 6.6730 6.1128 6.2766
September 6.0823 5.8972 5.9611
October 5.8843 5.6190 5.7417
November 5.7253 5.5373 5.6097
December 5.6518 5.5615 5.5923