2017 AOA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

22.0880 UGX

YEARLY LOW

21.4599 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

21.7949 UGX

2017 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 20, valuing the pair at 22.0880. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 20, dropping to 21.4599.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6281 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 21.7935 to the December average rate of 21.8621, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.31% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 22.0880 was down 12.56% compared to the 2016 peak of 25.2611, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 110,440 UGX

2016 Average 105,042 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 107,300 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,140.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

21.9582

21.5954

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 21.7547, compared to 21.8350 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0803 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 21.7547

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 21.8350

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 0.4847 UGX (High: 22.0372 / Low: 21.5525). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2462 UGX (High: 21.9210 / Low: 21.6747).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4847

December Spread (Stable) ±0.2462

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.2054 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2054

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2017: 21.9280) against the same month in 2016 (average: 20.7166), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2114 (+5.85%).

2017 Avg (October) 21.9280

2016 Avg (October) 20.7166

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	22.0372	21.5525	21.7935
February	21.8198	21.4726	21.6257
March	21.9247	21.5274	21.7489
April	22.0851	21.7016	21.8831
May	21.9972	21.6568	21.8413
June	21.8214	21.4819	21.6360
July	21.8581	21.4599	21.7442
August	21.9128	21.5953	21.7817
September	21.9234	21.6283	21.7703
October	22.0880	21.7389	21.9280
November	22.0871	21.7995	21.9238
December	21.9210	21.6747	21.8621