2026 AOA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

4.1322 UGX

YEARLY LOW

3.7775 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

4.0307 UGX

2026 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 28, valuing the pair at 4.1322. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 3.7775.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3547 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 3.9006 to the December average rate of 4.0953, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 4.1322 was up 0.85% compared to the 2025 peak of 4.0974, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,661 UGX

2025 Average 19,690 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 18,888 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,773.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

4.1338

3.8746

JanuMarcMayJuly

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0170, compared to 4.0718 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0548 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0170

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0718

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was March, with a trading range of 0.1991 UGX (High: 4.1309 / Low: 3.9319). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0178 UGX (High: 4.1022 / Low: 4.0844).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.1991

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0178

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0504 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0504

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 4.1122) against the same month in 2025 (average: 4.0031), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1091 (+2.72%).

2026 Avg (May) 4.1122

2025 Avg (May) 4.0031

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	3.9714	3.7775	3.9006
February	3.9368	3.8552	3.8962
March	4.1309	3.9319	4.0718
April	4.1039	4.0208	4.0595
May	4.1322	4.0712	4.1122
June	4.1255	3.9636	4.0618
July	4.1217	3.9951	4.0482
August	4.1022	4.0844	4.0953