YEARLY HIGH
4.7549 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.8452 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
4.3210 UGX

2024 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 26, valuing the pair at 4.7549. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 3.8452.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.9098 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.5806 to the December average rate of 4.0116, the exchange rate registered a net change of -12.42% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 4.7549 was down 36.43% compared to the 2023 peak of 7.4801, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 23,775 UGX
2023 Average 28,622 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 19,226 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 4,548.92 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

4.7340
3.9328
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.5603, compared to 4.0816 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4787 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.5603
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.0816

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was October, with a trading range of 0.2048 UGX (High: 4.0500 / Low: 3.8452). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0535 UGX (High: 4.0591 / Low: 4.0057).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2048
November Spread (Stable) ±0.0535

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.1842 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1842

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 4.6596) against the same month in 2023 (average: 7.3011), the exchange rate shifted by -2.6415 (-36.18%).

2024 Avg (February) 4.6596
2023 Avg (February) 7.3011

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.6017 4.5440 4.5806
February 4.7549 4.5770 4.6596
March 4.7334 4.6334 4.6672
April 4.6599 4.5332 4.5714
May 4.5532 4.4199 4.4930
June 4.4649 4.3248 4.3901
July 4.3181 4.2183 4.2498
August 4.2518 4.0755 4.1838
September 4.0796 3.9161 3.9996
October 4.0500 3.8452 4.0114
November 4.0591 4.0057 4.0337
December 4.0374 3.9743 4.0116