2012 AOA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

28.1727 UGX

YEARLY LOW

24.2705 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

26.2490 UGX

2012 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 28.1727. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 12, dropping to 24.2705.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.9022 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.3948 to the December average rate of 27.9059, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.89% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 28.1727 was down 7.63% compared to the 2011 peak of 30.5001, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 140,863 UGX

2011 Average 134,911 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 121,352 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,511.00 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

28.2388

24.2444

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 25.7553, compared to 26.7426 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9872 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 25.7553

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.7426

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 1.7552 UGX (High: 26.1678 / Low: 24.4126). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4113 UGX (High: 26.3343 / Low: 25.9230).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.7552

June Spread (Stable) ±0.4113

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.8176 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8176

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 27.9059) against the same month in 2011 (average: 25.8477), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0582 (+7.96%).

2012 Avg (December) 27.9059

2011 Avg (December) 25.8477

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	26.1678	24.4126	25.3948
February	25.7953	24.2705	24.5772
March	26.9032	25.7117	26.1187
April	26.4809	26.0608	26.3049
May	26.3649	25.7406	26.0351
June	26.3343	25.9230	26.1013
July	26.0515	24.9273	25.6095
August	26.4293	25.9593	26.1226
September	26.8225	26.1418	26.3653
October	27.2414	26.6796	27.0430
November	28.1632	26.9884	27.4092
December	28.1727	27.6654	27.9059