YEARLY HIGH
6.4399 UGX
YEARLY LOW
5.3970 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7357 UGX

2021 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 6.4399. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 9, dropping to 5.3970.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.0429 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 5.6290 to the December average rate of 6.3074, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 6.4399 was down 16.33% compared to the 2020 peak of 7.6965, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 32,199 UGX
2020 Average 32,441 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 26,985 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,214.49 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

6.3920
5.3771
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 5.6232, compared to 5.8482 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2250 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 5.6232
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 5.8482

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was November, with a trading range of 0.4143 UGX (High: 6.3084 / Low: 5.8941). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0380 UGX (High: 5.5720 / Low: 5.5340).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.4143
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0380

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.2403 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2403

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2021: 6.3074) against the same month in 2020 (average: 5.5923), the exchange rate shifted by +0.7151 (+12.79%).

2021 Avg (December) 6.3074
2020 Avg (December) 5.5923

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 5.6865 5.5877 5.6290
February 5.7614 5.5946 5.6262
March 5.9658 5.8148 5.8813
April 5.8284 5.4595 5.6410
May 5.5290 5.3970 5.4616
June 5.5257 5.4711 5.5001
July 5.5672 5.5018 5.5315
August 5.5720 5.5340 5.5531
September 5.9418 5.5593 5.7138
October 6.0778 5.9084 5.9842
November 6.3084 5.8941 5.9992
December 6.4399 6.2349 6.3074