YEARLY HIGH
7.4801 UGX
YEARLY LOW
4.3406 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
5.7340 UGX

2023 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 7.4801. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 6, dropping to 4.3406.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1395 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 7.3279 to the December average rate of 4.5509, the exchange rate registered a net change of -37.90% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 7.4801 was down 17.49% compared to the 2022 peak of 9.0655, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 37,401 UGX
2022 Average 40,419 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 21,703 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,697.56 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

7.6816
4.1399
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 6.9608, compared to 4.5072 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.4536 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 6.9608
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 4.5072

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was June, with a trading range of 1.9145 UGX (High: 6.3605 / Low: 4.4459). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0557 UGX (High: 4.5496 / Low: 4.4938).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.9145
September Spread (Stable) ±0.0557

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.7036 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.7036

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2023: 7.3864) against the same month in 2022 (average: 7.7099), the exchange rate shifted by -0.3235 (-4.20%).

2023 Avg (March) 7.3864
2022 Avg (March) 7.7099

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 7.4090 7.2607 7.3279
February 7.3977 7.2150 7.3011
March 7.4801 7.2861 7.3864
April 7.4677 7.3176 7.3744
May 7.3287 6.4753 7.0393
June 6.3605 4.4459 5.3357
July 4.4792 4.3613 4.4350
August 4.5388 4.3406 4.4570
September 4.5496 4.4938 4.5151
October 4.5640 4.5001 4.5334
November 4.6120 4.5060 4.5520
December 4.5826 4.5173 4.5509