YEARLY HIGH
4.0974 UGX
YEARLY LOW
3.7215 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
3.9385 UGX

2025 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 2, valuing the pair at 4.0974. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 3.7215.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.3759 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 4.0395 to the December average rate of 3.9056, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.31% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 4.0974 was down 13.83% compared to the 2024 peak of 4.7549, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 20,487 UGX
2024 Average 21,600 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 18,608 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,879.62 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

4.0651
3.7581
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 4.0057, compared to 3.8713 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1344 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 4.0057
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 3.8713

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 0.2087 UGX (High: 3.9965 / Low: 3.7878). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0308 UGX (High: 3.9369 / Low: 3.9062).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2087
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0308

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0598 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0598

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2025: 4.0263) against the same month in 2024 (average: 4.6596), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6333 (-13.59%).

2025 Avg (February) 4.0263
2024 Avg (February) 4.6596

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 4.0721 4.0226 4.0395
February 4.0974 4.0098 4.0263
March 4.0283 3.9720 4.0130
April 4.0591 3.9780 4.0088
May 4.0226 3.9795 4.0031
June 3.9954 3.9163 3.9433
July 3.9369 3.9062 3.9192
August 3.9117 3.8562 3.8916
September 3.8866 3.7986 3.8322
October 3.8286 3.7215 3.7837
November 3.9965 3.7878 3.8956
December 3.9714 3.8563 3.9056