2018 AOA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

22.0581 UGX

YEARLY LOW

11.9477 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

15.2023 UGX

2018 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 5, valuing the pair at 22.0581. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 18, dropping to 11.9477.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 10.1104 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.4384 to the December average rate of 12.0218, the exchange rate registered a net change of -41.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 22.0581 was down 0.14% compared to the 2017 peak of 22.0880, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 110,290 UGX

2017 Average 108,981 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 59,738 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 50,551.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

21.2800

11.1801

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 17.2827, compared to 13.1219 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.1608 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 17.2827

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.1219

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was January, with a trading range of 4.5689 UGX (High: 22.0581 / Low: 17.4892). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1013 UGX (High: 12.0726 / Low: 11.9714).

January Spread (Volatile) ±4.5689

December Spread (Stable) ±0.1013

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2018. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 3.1155 points.

Longest Streak 0 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -3.1155

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 20.4384) against the same month in 2017 (average: 21.7935), the exchange rate shifted by -1.3551 (-6.22%).

2018 Avg (January) 20.4384

2017 Avg (January) 21.7935

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	22.0581	17.4892	20.4384
February	17.5695	17.1005	17.3229
March	17.2372	16.9365	17.0720
April	17.2372	16.4460	16.9555
May	16.4800	15.7678	16.0485
June	16.1135	15.5560	15.8591
July	15.6474	14.3802	14.8348
August	14.3627	13.6235	14.0296
September	13.6274	12.9930	13.3165
October	12.9048	12.2004	12.4730
November	12.2190	11.9477	12.0559
December	12.0726	11.9714	12.0218