2015 AOA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

29.2585 UGX

YEARLY LOW

24.3895 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

27.0973 UGX

2015 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 5, valuing the pair at 29.2585. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 5, dropping to 24.3895.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.8691 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.5692 to the December average rate of 24.8369, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.91% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 29.2585 was up 6.21% compared to the 2014 peak of 27.5481, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 146,293 UGX

2014 Average 132,084 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 121,947 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,345.26 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

28.4876

24.5050

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.4894, compared to 26.7052 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.7841 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.4894

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.7052

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 2.3390 UGX (High: 28.5674 / Low: 26.2284). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4084 UGX (High: 27.6893 / Low: 27.2808).

July Spread (Volatile) ±2.3390

May Spread (Stable) ±0.4084

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2015. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.5428 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5428

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 28.1416) against the same month in 2014 (average: 26.7519), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3897 (+5.19%).

2015 Avg (September) 28.1416

2014 Avg (September) 26.7519

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	28.0053	26.9564	27.5692
February	27.6181	27.0796	27.2803
March	28.3029	27.0860	27.5292
April	27.7593	27.3461	27.5044
May	27.6893	27.2808	27.4270
June	28.6503	26.6825	27.6262
July	28.5674	26.2284	26.9168
August	29.0759	27.2217	28.1557
September	29.2585	27.0245	28.1416
October	27.3021	26.0607	26.8616
November	26.2645	24.7871	25.3189
December	25.4818	24.3895	24.8369