2016 AOA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

25.2611 UGX

YEARLY LOW

19.9595 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

21.0089 UGX

2016 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 10, valuing the pair at 25.2611. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 19.9595.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.3016 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.2042 to the December average rate of 21.7278, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.36% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 25.2611 was down 13.66% compared to the 2015 peak of 29.2585, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 126,306 UGX

2015 Average 135,476 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 99,798 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 26,508.03 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

23.5075

19.8682

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 21.1619, compared to 20.8558 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.3061 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 21.1619

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.8558

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 3.2732 UGX (High: 25.2611 / Low: 21.9879). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0850 UGX (High: 20.4142 / Low: 20.3291).

January Spread (Volatile) ±3.2732

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0850

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.4153 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.4153

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 23.2042) against the same month in 2015 (average: 27.5692), the exchange rate shifted by -4.3650 (-15.83%).

2016 Avg (January) 23.2042

2015 Avg (January) 27.5692

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	25.2611	21.9879	23.2042
February	22.3582	21.1238	21.7889
March	21.2246	20.9919	21.1105
April	20.9919	19.9595	20.3970
May	20.4234	20.0056	20.1715
June	20.5845	20.1776	20.2994
July	20.5273	20.3285	20.4068
August	20.4142	20.3291	20.3651
September	20.4564	20.3518	20.4193
October	20.9088	20.4007	20.7166
November	21.9104	20.9132	21.4993
December	21.9345	21.4152	21.7278