2014 AOA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

27.5481 UGX

YEARLY LOW

25.1237 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

26.4092 UGX

2014 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 30, valuing the pair at 27.5481. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 25.1237.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4244 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 25.6043 to the December average rate of 27.1049, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.86% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 27.5481 was down 2.86% compared to the 2013 peak of 28.3602, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 137,741 UGX

2013 Average 134,045 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 125,619 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,121.90 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

27.4589

25.0946

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 25.8201, compared to 26.9982 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1781 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 25.8201

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 26.9982

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 0.7708 UGX (High: 25.8945 / Low: 25.1237). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2382 UGX (High: 26.7937 / Low: 26.5554).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.7708

August Spread (Stable) ±0.2382

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.3659 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3659

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 27.2619) against the same month in 2013 (average: 25.9435), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3185 (+5.08%).

2014 Avg (November) 27.2619

2013 Avg (November) 25.9435

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	25.9230	25.3366	25.6043
February	25.8945	25.1237	25.2916
March	26.2865	25.7215	25.9419
April	26.2326	25.6626	25.8297
May	26.0917	25.7508	25.8801
June	26.7122	26.0243	26.3731
July	27.3669	26.6323	27.0624
August	26.7937	26.5554	26.6965
September	26.9879	26.6166	26.7519
October	27.3297	26.8877	27.1119
November	27.5481	27.0476	27.2619
December	27.4374	26.8610	27.1049