2019 AOA to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.0611 UGX

YEARLY LOW

7.4379 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.4071 UGX

2019 AOA to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the AOA to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 12.0611. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 29, dropping to 7.4379.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.6233 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.9418 to the December average rate of 7.7218, the exchange rate registered a net change of -35.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 12.0611 was down 45.32% compared to the 2018 peak of 22.0581, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 AOA based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 60,306 UGX

2018 Average 75,960 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 37,189 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,116.31 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

12.3638

7.2998

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

AOA to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.6130, compared to 9.2012 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.4118 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.6130

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 9.2012

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was October, with a trading range of 2.2933 UGX (High: 9.7312 / Low: 7.4379). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1272 UGX (High: 11.7917 / Low: 11.6645).

October Spread (Volatile) ±2.2933

February Spread (Stable) ±0.1272

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2019. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.2762 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2762

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 11.9418) against the same month in 2018 (average: 20.4384), the exchange rate shifted by -8.4966 (-41.57%).

2019 Avg (January) 11.9418

2018 Avg (January) 20.4384

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.0611	11.7679	11.9418
February	11.7917	11.6645	11.7178
March	11.8011	11.6480	11.7304
April	11.8140	11.5894	11.7155
May	11.6249	11.3761	11.5188
June	11.3971	10.8010	11.0538
July	10.8313	10.5855	10.6791
August	10.5171	10.0114	10.2655
September	10.1929	9.7679	10.0039
October	9.7312	7.4379	8.7278
November	8.0165	7.4686	7.8091
December	8.0017	7.5168	7.7218