2011 GMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

102.2941 UGX

YEARLY LOW

81.1627 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

89.5445 UGX

2011 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 102.2941. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 14, dropping to 81.1627.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 21.1314 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 84.0229 to the December average rate of 84.6484, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.74% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 102.2941 was up 19.59% compared to the 2010 peak of 85.5362, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 511,471 UGX

2010 Average 394,700 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 405,814 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 105,656.84 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

100.5887

82.1214

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 85.9570, compared to 93.1321 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 7.1751 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 85.9570

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 93.1321

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 14.6475 UGX (High: 102.2941 / Low: 87.6466). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.8925 UGX (High: 88.4209 / Low: 84.5284).

October Spread (Volatile) ±14.6475

May Spread (Stable) ±3.8925

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 8.1504 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -8.1504

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 96.5134) against the same month in 2010 (average: 84.2766), the exchange rate shifted by +12.2368 (+14.52%).

2011 Avg (October) 96.5134

2010 Avg (October) 84.2766

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	87.3249	81.3439	84.0229
February	86.9098	81.6470	83.6604
March	90.0308	83.9523	86.7577
April	89.0946	84.2774	86.1202
May	88.4209	84.5284	86.2410
June	96.3679	84.2480	88.9396
July	98.6401	90.1697	93.4769
August	102.2477	91.8695	99.0497
September	101.4701	93.5365	96.7409
October	102.2941	87.6466	96.5134
November	90.2685	85.6237	88.3630
December	88.6412	81.1627	84.6484