YEARLY HIGH
63.4359 UGX
YEARLY LOW
55.7997 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
59.8649 UGX

2023 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 31, valuing the pair at 63.4359. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 20, dropping to 55.7997.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.6362 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 59.5220 to the December average rate of 56.1478, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.67% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 63.4359 was down 11.84% compared to the 2022 peak of 71.9558, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 317,179 UGX
2022 Average 333,796 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 278,998 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 38,181.10 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

62.9620
55.5283
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 60.9817, compared to 58.7481 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.2336 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 60.9817
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 58.7481

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was September, with a trading range of 3.9952 UGX (High: 61.8019 / Low: 57.8067). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7800 UGX (High: 56.5796 / Low: 55.7997).

September Spread (Volatile) ±3.9952
December Spread (Stable) ±0.7800

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 3.3326 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -3.3326

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2023: 62.3426) against the same month in 2022 (average: 67.2375), the exchange rate shifted by -4.8949 (-7.28%).

2023 Avg (May) 62.3426
2022 Avg (May) 67.2375

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 60.1516 58.8283 59.5220
February 61.0331 59.6772 60.3432
March 61.7497 60.0751 60.8747
April 62.3053 59.7223 60.5259
May 63.4359 61.7898 62.3426
June 63.0229 61.3834 62.2818
July 62.0815 60.2893 61.3835
August 62.0117 59.3448 60.7538
September 61.8019 57.8067 60.5269
October 58.5468 56.8669 57.1943
November 58.1668 55.8343 56.4821
December 56.5796 55.7997 56.1478