YEARLY HIGH
89.6659 UGX
YEARLY LOW
74.6689 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
80.6368 UGX

2012 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 10, valuing the pair at 89.6659. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 14, dropping to 74.6689.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 14.9970 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 81.3925 to the December average rate of 86.2124, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.92% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 89.6659 was down 12.35% compared to the 2011 peak of 102.2941, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 448,329 UGX
2011 Average 447,937 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 373,344 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 74,985.03 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

87.2181
75.1501
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 81.0529, compared to 80.2207 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8322 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 81.0529
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 80.2207

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was November, with a trading range of 12.6405 UGX (High: 88.5531 / Low: 75.9126). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 2.2617 UGX (High: 80.1134 / Low: 77.8517).

November Spread (Volatile) ±12.6405
July Spread (Stable) ±2.2617

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 4.4387 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -4.4387

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 86.2124) against the same month in 2011 (average: 84.6484), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5640 (+1.85%).

2012 Avg (December) 86.2124
2011 Avg (December) 84.6484

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 86.5169 76.9183 81.3925
February 83.0173 74.6689 76.9537
March 83.4225 79.3350 81.3548
April 86.5118 83.0199 84.5651
May 83.6544 80.5806 81.6121
June 82.6053 78.9760 80.4391
July 80.1134 77.8517 78.7172
August 78.9348 75.0109 78.3140
September 77.4614 74.8766 76.1557
October 78.7541 75.7416 77.1052
November 88.5531 75.9126 84.8196
December 89.6659 81.9346 86.2124