YEARLY HIGH
52.4101 UGX
YEARLY LOW
46.9278 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
49.9144 UGX

2025 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 7, valuing the pair at 52.4101. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 1, dropping to 46.9278.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.4823 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 51.2551 to the December average rate of 48.6441, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 52.4101 was down 10.31% compared to the 2024 peak of 58.4343, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 262,050 UGX
2024 Average 273,128 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 234,639 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 27,411.50 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

51.5999
47.4620
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 50.9946, compared to 48.8343 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1603 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 50.9946
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 48.8343

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 2.5770 UGX (High: 49.9944 / Low: 47.4174). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9141 UGX (High: 51.6248 / Low: 50.7107).

November Spread (Volatile) ±2.5770
February Spread (Stable) ±0.9141

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2025. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.9439 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9439

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2025: 51.2551) against the same month in 2024 (average: 56.5299), the exchange rate shifted by -5.2748 (-9.33%).

2025 Avg (January) 51.2551
2024 Avg (January) 56.5299

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 52.4101 50.4204 51.2551
February 51.6248 50.7107 51.2466
March 52.0231 50.3124 51.1793
April 51.6707 50.6088 51.0264
May 51.6707 50.1138 50.6698
June 51.8507 50.1517 50.5903
July 50.6385 49.4249 50.0348
August 49.9928 48.6105 49.3318
September 49.7467 47.2681 48.3878
October 48.6722 46.9278 47.8068
November 49.9944 47.4174 48.8004
December 49.3225 48.1400 48.6441