2017 GMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

84.9510 UGX

YEARLY LOW

75.7126 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

78.9875 UGX

2017 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 1, valuing the pair at 84.9510. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 13, dropping to 75.7126.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 9.2384 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 83.0420 to the December average rate of 76.3263, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.09% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 84.9510 was down 4.06% compared to the 2016 peak of 88.5429, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 424,755 UGX

2016 Average 407,345 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 378,563 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 46,191.89 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

83.7135

75.6548

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 80.3201, compared to 77.6549 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.6651 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 80.3201

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 77.6549

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 3.0522 UGX (High: 84.9510 / Low: 81.8988). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.9890 UGX (High: 77.2177 / Low: 76.2287).

January Spread (Volatile) ±3.0522

November Spread (Stable) ±0.9890

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 1.8089 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.8089

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2017: 83.0420) against the same month in 2016 (average: 87.2206), the exchange rate shifted by -4.1787 (-4.79%).

2017 Avg (January) 83.0420

2016 Avg (January) 87.2206

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	84.9510	81.8988	83.0420
February	82.7439	79.9004	81.2331
March	81.3283	80.0683	80.6625
April	80.9768	79.8525	80.2987
May	80.2112	77.8592	78.6091
June	78.9131	77.3611	78.0751
July	78.7784	77.3623	78.3759
August	79.9858	77.7667	78.7214
September	79.1636	77.8374	78.4476
October	78.7980	76.4378	77.2994
November	77.2177	76.2287	76.7589
December	76.7043	75.7126	76.3263