2016 GMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

88.5429 UGX

YEARLY LOW

77.2210 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

81.4819 UGX

2016 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 27, valuing the pair at 88.5429. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 77.2210.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 11.3219 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 87.2206 to the December average rate of 84.1073, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.57% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 88.5429 was down 6.40% compared to the 2015 peak of 94.5938, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 442,715 UGX

2015 Average 395,203 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 386,105 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 56,609.45 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

88.1207

77.3203

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 82.0558, compared to 80.9080 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1478 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 82.0558

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 80.9080

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was March, with a trading range of 6.8333 UGX (High: 85.4191 / Low: 78.5858). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6012 UGX (High: 79.7065 / Low: 79.1053).

March Spread (Volatile) ±6.8333

September Spread (Stable) ±0.6012

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 4.5110 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -4.5110

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 87.2206) against the same month in 2015 (average: 66.3956), the exchange rate shifted by +20.8251 (+31.37%).

2016 Avg (January) 87.2206

2015 Avg (January) 66.3956

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	88.5429	85.4820	87.2206
February	88.0701	84.8282	86.8515
March	85.4191	78.5858	82.8527
April	79.0413	77.2210	78.3417
May	79.3257	77.5252	78.2204
June	79.8317	78.1424	78.8480
July	79.8146	78.6737	79.1693
August	79.5455	78.4500	79.0526
September	79.7065	79.1053	79.3506
October	81.2763	79.2572	80.3975
November	85.5053	80.9088	83.3707
December	84.8371	83.1064	84.1073