YEARLY HIGH
76.5937 UGX
YEARLY LOW
71.2293 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
73.9666 UGX

2019 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 6, valuing the pair at 76.5937. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 19, dropping to 71.2293.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.3644 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 74.8309 to the December average rate of 71.5842, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.34% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 76.5937 was down 7.48% compared to the 2018 peak of 82.7859, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 382,969 UGX
2018 Average 387,534 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 356,146 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 26,822.16 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

76.3246
71.1532
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 75.0383, compared to 72.8950 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1433 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 75.0383
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 72.8950

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 2.4951 UGX (High: 76.5937 / Low: 74.0986). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5062 UGX (High: 74.8605 / Low: 74.3544).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.4951
March Spread (Stable) ±0.5062

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 1.1452 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.1452

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2019: 75.2914) against the same month in 2018 (average: 81.3294), the exchange rate shifted by -6.0379 (-7.42%).

2019 Avg (June) 75.2914
2018 Avg (June) 81.3294

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 75.4117 73.8301 74.8309
February 74.7599 73.9948 74.1406
March 74.8605 74.3544 74.6704
April 75.9194 74.6649 75.4027
May 76.3093 75.3299 75.8937
June 76.5937 74.0986 75.2914
July 74.9398 73.8871 74.1463
August 74.0439 72.3456 73.5935
September 73.4394 72.2108 72.9610
October 73.5003 72.3210 72.8823
November 72.5165 71.8041 72.2027
December 72.2219 71.2293 71.5842