2020 GMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

77.0502 UGX

YEARLY LOW

70.4051 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

72.2116 UGX

2020 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 77.0502. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 30, dropping to 70.4051.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.6452 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 71.8740 to the December average rate of 70.8136, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.48% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 77.0502 was up 0.60% compared to the 2019 peak of 76.5937, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 385,251 UGX

2019 Average 369,826 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 352,025 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 33,225.82 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

74.4870

70.4797

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 73.0456, compared to 71.3776 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.6680 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 73.0456

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 71.3776

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 4.4878 UGX (High: 77.0502 / Low: 72.5624). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.6017 UGX (High: 71.2469 / Low: 70.6452).

March Spread (Volatile) ±4.4878

August Spread (Stable) ±0.6017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 1.3790 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3790

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 73.9640) against the same month in 2019 (average: 74.6704), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7064 (-0.95%).

2020 Avg (March) 73.9640

2019 Avg (March) 74.6704

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	72.4700	71.4831	71.8740
February	72.7442	71.7521	72.0546
March	77.0502	72.5624	73.9640
April	74.7001	73.5496	74.1531
May	74.3871	73.3483	73.8036
June	73.3909	72.0237	72.4246
July	72.2415	71.1332	71.5615
August	71.2469	70.6452	70.9618
September	71.8135	70.9959	71.4123
October	72.3102	71.3353	71.8408
November	72.2796	71.3053	71.6758
December	71.5143	70.4051	70.8136