2013 GMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

82.7382 UGX

YEARLY LOW

65.5771 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

76.6077 UGX

2013 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 15, valuing the pair at 82.7382. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 26, dropping to 65.5771.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.1611 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 80.2751 to the December average rate of 66.2542, the exchange rate registered a net change of -17.47% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 82.7382 was down 7.73% compared to the 2012 peak of 89.6659, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 413,691 UGX

2012 Average 403,238 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 327,885 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 85,805.40 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

81.6772

64.8521

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 77.7037, compared to 75.5117 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1920 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 77.7037

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 75.5117

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was November, with a trading range of 10.8064 UGX (High: 77.4480 / Low: 66.6415). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.2890 UGX (High: 78.3885 / Low: 77.0995).

November Spread (Volatile) ±10.8064

October Spread (Stable) ±1.2890

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 7.1064 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.1064

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 80.2751) against the same month in 2012 (average: 81.3925), the exchange rate shifted by -1.1173 (-1.37%).

2013 Avg (January) 80.2751

2012 Avg (January) 81.3925

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	82.7382	78.0755	80.2751
February	80.7239	78.4384	79.7085
March	80.3583	77.9389	79.1720
April	79.1100	76.4449	77.8183
May	78.9368	73.7143	77.3508
June	76.5951	70.8347	71.8974
July	79.9913	72.1160	78.6856
August	79.3942	73.9276	78.4574
September	79.5479	77.5479	78.7450
October	78.3885	77.0995	77.5674
November	77.4480	66.6415	73.3606
December	67.2787	65.5771	66.2542