2014 GMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

67.7384 UGX

YEARLY LOW

61.8361 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

65.1162 UGX

2014 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 14, valuing the pair at 67.7384. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on November 6, dropping to 61.8361.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.9023 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 65.6616 to the December average rate of 64.1498, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.30% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 67.7384 was down 18.13% compared to the 2013 peak of 82.7382, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 338,692 UGX

2013 Average 382,974 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 309,181 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 29,511.40 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

66.7235

63.0566

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 65.0750, compared to 65.1575 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0825 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 65.0750

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 65.1575

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was October, with a trading range of 5.4721 UGX (High: 67.7384 / Low: 62.2663). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.7703 UGX (High: 64.6108 / Low: 63.8405).

October Spread (Volatile) ±5.4721

December Spread (Stable) ±0.7703

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.9627 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9627

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2014: 65.3249) against the same month in 2013 (average: 77.5674), the exchange rate shifted by -12.2426 (-15.78%).

2014 Avg (October) 65.3249

2013 Avg (October) 77.5674

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	66.5726	64.8393	65.6616
February	66.1614	64.2115	64.7060
March	67.3050	65.8981	66.4179
April	67.2834	63.3501	64.9980
May	64.3597	63.4682	63.7719
June	65.4701	64.2883	64.8943
July	67.3062	65.7528	66.3951
August	66.1323	65.1868	65.6936
September	66.9725	65.2857	66.0195
October	67.7384	62.2663	65.3249
November	64.4354	61.8361	63.3621
December	64.6108	63.8405	64.1498