2018 GMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

82.7859 UGX

YEARLY LOW

74.5446 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

77.5107 UGX

2018 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 28, valuing the pair at 82.7859. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 74.5446.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 8.2413 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 75.8363 to the December average rate of 75.0816, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.00% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 82.7859 was down 2.55% compared to the 2017 peak of 84.9510, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 413,930 UGX

2017 Average 394,878 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 372,723 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 41,206.47 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

81.9542

74.4568

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 78.1023, compared to 76.9192 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1832 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 78.1023

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 76.9192

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 5.8324 UGX (High: 82.6907 / Low: 76.8583). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 1.0139 UGX (High: 75.5585 / Low: 74.5446).

July Spread (Volatile) ±5.8324

December Spread (Stable) ±1.0139

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 2.5701 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.5701

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 81.3294) against the same month in 2017 (average: 78.0751), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2543 (+4.17%).

2018 Avg (June) 81.3294

2017 Avg (June) 78.0751

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	76.8897	74.6189	75.8363
February	77.6988	75.7347	76.8831
March	77.8917	76.5369	77.2661
April	78.8397	77.7352	78.2764
May	80.0621	78.6284	79.0226
June	82.7859	79.9971	81.3294
July	82.6907	76.8583	78.7593
August	78.5033	76.5359	77.5468
September	78.7996	77.6154	78.3389
October	77.6853	75.6631	76.3624
November	75.9880	74.7023	75.4260
December	75.5585	74.5446	75.0816