YEARLY HIGH
51.9985 UGX
YEARLY LOW
47.0469 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
50.2784 UGX

2026 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 1, valuing the pair at 51.9985. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 47.0469.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.9515 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 48.5663 to the December average rate of 50.5914, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 51.9985 was down 0.79% compared to the 2025 peak of 52.4101, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 259,992 UGX
2025 Average 249,529 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 235,235 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 24,757.70 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

52.0438
48.2501
JanuMarcMayJuly

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 50.2137, compared to 50.4725 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2588 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 50.2137
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 50.4725

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was June, with a trading range of 2.4979 UGX (High: 51.9985 / Low: 49.5006). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 50.5914 / Low: 50.5914).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.4979
August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.7918 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7918

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2026: 50.9359) against the same month in 2025 (average: 50.5903), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3456 (+0.68%).

2026 Avg (June) 50.9359
2025 Avg (June) 50.5903

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 49.3871 47.0469 48.5663
February 49.7004 47.8150 48.6662
March 51.6373 49.6433 50.7918
April 51.1174 49.7367 50.5945
May 51.9985 51.1961 51.7276
June 51.9985 49.5006 50.9359
July 50.9569 49.7145 50.3537
August 50.5914 50.5914 50.5914