2015 GMD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

94.5938 UGX

YEARLY LOW

64.6503 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

78.9628 UGX

2015 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 1, valuing the pair at 94.5938. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 64.6503.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 29.9435 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 66.3956 to the December average rate of 85.0202, the exchange rate registered a net change of 28.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 94.5938 was up 39.65% compared to the 2014 peak of 67.7384, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 472,969 UGX

2014 Average 325,614 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 323,252 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 149,717.46 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

95.6951

63.7320

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 69.2888, compared to 88.6369 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 19.3481 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 69.2888

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 88.6369

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was June, with a trading range of 12.2733 UGX (High: 83.3812 / Low: 71.1080). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.8615 UGX (High: 69.8903 / Low: 69.0287).

June Spread (Volatile) ±12.2733

April Spread (Stable) ±0.8615

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 5.8257 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.8257

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 92.9789) against the same month in 2014 (average: 65.3249), the exchange rate shifted by +27.6540 (+42.33%).

2015 Avg (October) 92.9789

2014 Avg (October) 65.3249

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	67.7134	64.6503	66.3956
February	67.2226	65.3744	66.5808
March	70.1631	67.0688	68.4479
April	69.8903	69.0287	69.5628
May	70.9175	69.4287	69.8746
June	83.3812	71.1080	74.8709
July	89.3081	82.3164	84.4815
August	91.3880	86.3364	89.1561
September	94.3549	90.0803	93.0315
October	94.5938	89.6667	92.9789
November	90.9210	84.9098	87.1532
December	87.0373	82.7935	85.0202