YEARLY HIGH
58.4343 UGX
YEARLY LOW
50.5575 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
54.6351 UGX

2024 GMD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the GMD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 25, valuing the pair at 58.4343. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 17, dropping to 50.5575.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 7.8769 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 56.5299 to the December average rate of 51.0209, the exchange rate registered a net change of -9.75% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 58.4343 was down 7.88% compared to the 2023 peak of 63.4359, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 GMD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 292,172 UGX
2023 Average 299,300 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 252,787 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 39,384.26 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

57.9574
50.3903
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

GMD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 56.4411, compared to 52.8290 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.6121 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 56.4411
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 52.8290

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was October, with a trading range of 2.4063 UGX (High: 54.4580 / Low: 52.0517). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.5768 UGX (High: 56.7680 / Low: 56.1911).

October Spread (Volatile) ±2.4063
January Spread (Stable) ±0.5768

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and March, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 1.3408 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.3408

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2024: 57.2786) against the same month in 2023 (average: 60.3432), the exchange rate shifted by -3.0645 (-5.08%).

2024 Avg (February) 57.2786
2023 Avg (February) 60.3432

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 56.7680 56.1911 56.5299
February 58.4343 56.4999 57.2786
March 57.8880 57.0588 57.3268
April 57.2783 55.8637 56.2599
May 56.4343 55.2310 55.8833
June 56.2967 54.6540 55.3680
July 55.1653 53.5212 54.6196
August 54.0830 52.2724 53.2788
September 54.3192 52.3753 53.3513
October 54.4580 52.0517 52.9966
November 52.2323 51.1420 51.7070
December 51.9487 50.5575 51.0209