2011 KES to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

30.4709 UGX

YEARLY LOW

25.9721 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

28.4552 UGX

2011 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 26, valuing the pair at 30.4709. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 31, dropping to 25.9721.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.4987 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.7687 to the December average rate of 28.3744, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 30.4709 was up 5.43% compared to the 2010 peak of 28.9013, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 152,354 UGX

2010 Average 137,488 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 129,861 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 22,493.68 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

29.8774

27.3610

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.3185, compared to 28.5919 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2734 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.3185

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.5919

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 2.8301 UGX (High: 29.7717 / Low: 26.9416). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4477 UGX (High: 29.0623 / Low: 28.6145).

June Spread (Volatile) ±2.8301

July Spread (Stable) ±0.4477

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 1.5187 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.5187

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 29.6677) against the same month in 2010 (average: 27.7190), the exchange rate shifted by +1.9487 (+7.03%).

2011 Avg (August) 29.6677

2010 Avg (August) 27.7190

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	29.5602	28.1921	28.7687
February	29.2954	28.4305	28.7977
March	28.9528	28.0308	28.4506
April	28.6547	27.7079	28.3019
May	28.5746	27.4745	28.0215
June	29.7717	26.9416	27.5707
July	29.0623	28.6145	28.7967
August	30.4709	28.6717	29.6677
September	30.0755	27.7110	29.2609
October	28.6221	25.9721	27.7422
November	28.8243	26.4940	27.7092
December	29.5027	27.1290	28.3744