2020 KES to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

37.0300 UGX

YEARLY LOW

32.7395 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

34.9376 UGX

2020 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 26, valuing the pair at 37.0300. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 16, dropping to 32.7395.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.2906 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 36.3882 to the December average rate of 33.1716, the exchange rate registered a net change of -8.84% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 37.0300 was down 0.89% compared to the 2019 peak of 37.3630, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 185,150 UGX

2019 Average 181,632 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 163,697 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 21,452.75 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

36.7946

32.8422

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 35.8850, compared to 33.9901 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.8950 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 35.8850

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 33.9901

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 1.0594 UGX (High: 37.0300 / Low: 35.9706). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3046 UGX (High: 34.2652 / Low: 33.9606).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.0594

September Spread (Stable) ±0.3046

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.7683 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.7683

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 36.2891) against the same month in 2019 (average: 36.9158), the exchange rate shifted by -0.6268 (-1.70%).

2020 Avg (March) 36.2891

2019 Avg (March) 36.9158

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	36.6821	36.1227	36.3882
February	36.6741	36.2274	36.4653
March	37.0300	35.9706	36.2891
April	36.0900	35.2760	35.5256
May	35.9885	35.1868	35.5203
June	35.4996	34.9399	35.1218
July	35.0180	34.2034	34.5098
August	34.2426	33.7429	34.0061
September	34.2652	33.9606	34.0911
October	34.4260	33.9927	34.2220
November	34.3954	33.6204	33.9398
December	33.5742	32.7395	33.1716