YEARLY HIGH
32.7456 UGX
YEARLY LOW
29.5018 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
31.2855 UGX

2022 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 32.7456. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 24, dropping to 29.5018.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.2438 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.1216 to the December average rate of 29.9693, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.70% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 32.7456 was down 3.67% compared to the 2021 peak of 33.9940, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 163,728 UGX
2021 Average 163,563 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 147,509 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,219.09 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

32.2882
29.7585
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.2122, compared to 31.3587 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1466 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.2122
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 31.3587

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 1.8993 UGX (High: 32.3258 / Low: 30.4265). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4363 UGX (High: 31.1763 / Low: 30.7400).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.8993
February Spread (Stable) ±0.4363

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.8265 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8265

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 32.0774) against the same month in 2021 (average: 32.3678), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2904 (-0.90%).

2022 Avg (August) 32.0774
2021 Avg (August) 32.3678

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.3416 30.8777 31.1216
February 31.1763 30.7400 30.9210
March 31.7379 31.0063 31.3940
April 31.1303 30.4305 30.6984
May 32.3258 30.4265 31.1927
June 32.5294 31.7257 31.9453
July 32.6428 31.4797 32.0362
August 32.7456 31.4636 32.0774
September 32.1440 31.2322 31.7078
October 31.9083 31.1238 31.5658
November 31.1909 30.5124 30.7958
December 30.5105 29.5018 29.9693