2016 KES to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

35.6527 UGX

YEARLY LOW

32.6865 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

33.6652 UGX

2016 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 4, valuing the pair at 35.6527. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 32.6865.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.9661 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 33.6619 to the December average rate of 35.2415, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.69% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 35.6527 was down 0.22% compared to the 2015 peak of 35.7314, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 178,263 UGX

2015 Average 164,537 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 163,433 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 14,830.66 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

35.4647

32.7853

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 33.3147, compared to 34.0157 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.7010 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 33.3147

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.0157

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 1.4870 UGX (High: 35.6197 / Low: 34.1327). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1599 UGX (High: 33.4547 / Low: 33.2948).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.4870

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1599

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.4881 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4881

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 35.2415) against the same month in 2015 (average: 32.8871), the exchange rate shifted by +2.3543 (+7.16%).

2016 Avg (December) 35.2415

2015 Avg (December) 32.8871

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	34.0200	32.9582	33.6619
February	34.0099	32.8849	33.6196
March	33.2607	32.9315	33.1315
April	33.2003	32.6865	33.0086
May	33.5896	32.8072	33.1923
June	33.7102	33.0707	33.2744
July	33.6225	33.1498	33.3582
August	33.3536	33.1742	33.2557
September	33.4547	33.2948	33.3940
October	34.1528	33.3681	33.8561
November	35.6197	34.1327	34.9885
December	35.6527	34.7021	35.2415